{"rewrite":{"id":"r_081ae09960829c131b00c2d8","clusterId":"c_dcf6c987a5af74386b049d35","slug":"toregeto-publishes-self-reported-win-rates-for-pokemon-center-30th-celebration-lottery","model":"deepseek-v4-flash","headline":"Toregeto Publishes Self-Reported Win Rates For Pokemon Center 30th CELEBRATION Lottery","summary":"Torekapro's Card Lottery Compilation Toregeto tallied self-reported results from 1,293 people across two Pokemon Center Online lotteries for the \"30th CELEBRATION\" BOX. The verified-identity slot drew win rates of 60.6% and 81.4%; the unverified slot drew 23.9% and 25.5%, widening the gap from 2.5x to 3.2x. The third lottery round runs September 11 at 16:00 to September 16 at 16:59, with results on September 30.","whyItMatters":"Toregeto's self-reported tally gives applicants a rough read on how much identity verification matters in Pokemon Center Online's lottery before the third round closes on September 16.","webCardHtml":"\u003cp\u003eThe third round covers the expansion pack BOX, the card set, and the FUTURISTIC BOX. The Premium Deck Set is not included. Only the card set ships on October 16, a month after the other two.\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eResults land on September 30 from 13:00 onward, with the card set from 15:00 and the FUTURISTIC BOX from 17:00. The order window runs from each announcement time until October 6 at 16:59. The wait from deadline to announcement is 14 days, against 7 days in the first round and 4 in the second. Toregeto notes its figures come from applicants\u0026#39; self-reports and differ from the actual probabilities Pokemon Center Online runs.\u003c/p\u003e","blueskyPost":"Toregeto's self-reported figures put the verified Pokemon Center 30th CELEBRATION slot at 81.4% against 25.5% unverified, a 3.2x gap that widened from 2.5x a round earlier.","twitterPost":"Toregeto's Pokemon Center 30th CELEBRATION data shows the verified-slot edge growing from 2.5x to 3.2x between rounds.","threadsPost":"Toregeto's tallied Pokemon Center 30th CELEBRATION results show the verified identity slot winning 81.4% against 25.5% for unverified entries. The gap widened from 2.5x to 3.2x in one round, which is the kind of drift that matters more than any single percentage.","newsletterBlurb":"Torekapro's Card Lottery Compilation Toregeto published self-reported win-loss results from 1,293 people across two Pokemon Center Online lotteries for the \"30th CELEBRATION\" BOX. The verified-identity slot came in at 60.6% and 81.4%, the unverified slot at 23.9% and 25.5%. A third round runs September 11 at 16:00 to September 16 at 16:59, with results on September 30.","attributionJson":"[{\"source\":\"ASCII.jp\",\"url\":\"https://ascii.jp/elem/000/004/434/4434151/?rss\",\"title\":\"[Breaking] Pokemon Cards 30th Anniversary: Re-Lottery Today at 4 PM! Pokemon Center's Past Two Verified-Identity Slot Win Rates: 60.6% → 81.4%! Toregeto (@cardchusen_com) Releases Data\"}]","lintFlagsJson":null,"lintHits":0,"costUsd":0,"inputTokens":4829,"outputTokens":780,"status":"published","repairAttempts":0,"nextRepairAt":null,"factsAttemptedAt":1789098266,"createdAt":"2026-09-11T03:39:17.000Z","publishedAt":"2026-09-11T03:43:21.000Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-11T03:43:21.000Z"},"cluster":{"id":"c_dcf6c987a5af74386b049d35","canonicalTitle":"【速報】ポケカ30周年、本日16時に再抽選！ポケセン過去2回の本人認証済み枠の当選率は60.6%→81.4%！トレゲト（@cardchusen_com ）がデータ公開","representativeArticleId":"a_0df2387f4b050e4f1a1b25f3","sourceCount":1,"writtenSourceCount":1,"writeAttempts":0,"isSolo":true,"entitiesJson":"{\"anime_titles\":[],\"manga_titles\":[],\"work_titles\":[\"Pokémon Trading Card Game\"],\"studios\":[],\"people\":[],\"type\":\"news\",\"domain\":\"figures\",\"is_roundup\":false}","contentType":"news","status":"published","firstSeenAt":"2026-09-11T01:10:00.000Z","lastSeenAt":"2026-09-11T01:10:00.000Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-11T03:43:20.000Z"},"attribution":[{"source":"ASCII.jp","url":"https://ascii.jp/elem/000/004/434/4434151/?rss","title":"【速報】ポケカ30周年、本日16時に再抽選！ポケセン過去2回の本人認証済み枠の当選率は60.6%→81.4%！トレゲト（@cardchusen_com ）がデータ公開"}],"entities":{"anime_titles":[],"manga_titles":[],"work_titles":["Pokémon Trading Card Game"],"studios":[],"people":[],"type":"news","domain":"figures","is_roundup":false},"keyFacts":null}